For as good as the Nashville backline have been all season, they have not been able to get it together anywhere else on the field, and that has to be a cause for concern as they face elimination.
The Lions are a scrappy and resilient bunch who have shown poise away from home and made their chances count, and we believe they will maintain that composure when needed in this match.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.