Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
58.62% | 23.23% | 18.15% |
Both teams to score 47.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% | 51.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% | 73.03% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% | 47.43% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.86% | 42.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.44% | 78.55% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.61% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |