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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
4 - 1
Lorient

Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
58.62%23.23%18.15%
Both teams to score 47.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96%73.03%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82%17.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57%47.43%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86%42.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44%78.55%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.61%
    Lorient 18.15%
    Draw 23.22%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.61%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
73.2%
Draw
19.7%
Lorient
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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