Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
52.79% | 24.51% | 22.7% |
Both teams to score 50.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% | 50.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% | 72.67% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% | 19.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% | 50.87% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.92% | 37.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.13% | 73.87% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.01% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.06% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |