Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Angers |
57.51% | 23.79% | 18.7% |
Both teams to score 47.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.38% | 52.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.73% | 74.27% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% | 18.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.97% | 49.03% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.67% | 42.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.28% | 78.72% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |