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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
27.87% ( -1.85) | 28.5% ( -0.05) | 43.63% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 44.13% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.27% ( -0.52) | 61.73% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.46% ( -0.39) | 81.54% ( 0.38) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.41% ( -1.77) | 38.59% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.66% ( -1.73) | 75.34% ( 1.73) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( 0.78) | 28.14% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% ( 0.98) | 63.82% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.87% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.66% Total : 43.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |