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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park
Northampton Town

Tranmere
0 - 1
Northampton


Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (5')
Hylton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

Tranmere have been very disappointing all season, most recently drawing 1-1 away at 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon, and Dawes has not performed well in the role of interim manager. As such, we expect the visitors to get over the line and secure promotion back to the third tier with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 37.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.141 0.14)59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.107 0.11)80.15% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)32.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.052 0.05)69.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.119 0.12)30.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 34.32%
    Northampton Town 37.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Northampton

Tranmere Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Northampton
0-0
Tranmere

Briston (25')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Northampton
3-2
Tranmere
Horsfall (29', 37'), Pinnock (66')
Horsfall (72'), Lubala (90+3')
McPake (75'), Hemmings (88' pen.)
McManaman (12'), McPake (68'), O'Connor (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Tranmere
0-2
Northampton

Spearing (72')
Etete (52'), Hoskins (68' pen.)
Lewis (43'), Koiki (58'), Hoskins (86')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Tranmere
1-2
Northampton
Norwood (25')
Hoskins (2', 45')
O'Toole (67'), Pierre (83'), Facey (87')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 6
Northampton
1-1
Tranmere
Morias (61')
Norwood (51')
Banks (86'), Jennings (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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