MX23RW : Friday, May 10 11:50:20| >> :600:1213128:1213128:
[monks data]
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

Preview: Stevenage vs. Northampton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides at contrasting ends of the League Two table go head to head as 22nd-placed Stevenage and second-placed Northampton Town lock horns at the Lamex Stadium on Tuesday.

The hosts will head into the game desperate to get one over the Cobblers having failed to win any of the last eight meetings between the sides since a 2-1 victory back in 2015.


Match preview

Crystal Palace's Jack Wells-Morrison in action with Stevenage's Jake Reeves, July 23, 2021© Reuters

Stevenage were left empty-handed once again in the League Two as they fell to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Newport County when the sides met last Saturday.

Following an uneventful first half, the game sparked into life two minutes after the interval when Crystal Palace loanee Robert Street opened the scoring before Ryan Haynes made sure of the result 23 minutes later.

Paul Tisdale's side have now failed to win any of their last eight games, picking up three draws and losing five since a 3-0 victory over Harrogate Town on January 29.

With 34 points from 36 games, Stevenage are currently 22nd in the League One standings, level on points with 21st-placed Barrow and three above relegation strugglers Oldham Athletic, who have two games in hand.

Their poor campaign so far has been owing to their struggles at both ends of the pitch, particularly in defence where they boast the division's second-worst record with 56 goals conceded, while scoring just 32 at the opposite end of the pitch.

Northampton Town, on the other hand, were sent crashing back down to earth last time out when they fell to a 2-1 loss against a rejuvenated Carlisle United at the Brunton Park.

After Paul Lewis netted in the 79th minute to cancel out Tobi Sho-Silva's opener, 24-year-old Jordan Gibson was calm under pressure as he converted his 94th-minute penalty to hand the Blues a fourth consecutive win.

Prior to that, Jon Brady's men ended their three-match winless run on March 5 when they claimed a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Tranmere Rovers at the Sixfields Stadium.

Northampton Town have now won 17, drawn nine and lost 10 of their 36 League Two games to collect 60 points and sit second in the standings, eight points adrift of first-place Forest Green Rovers.

The Cobblers will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways and closing the gap on the Rovers as they face an opposing side who they are unbeaten against in each of the last eight meetings between the teams since 2015, including five straight wins from their most recent five encounters.

Stevenage League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Northampton Town League Two form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Paul Tisdale in charge of Exeter City in May 2017© Reuters

Stevenage will take to the pitch without the services of 28-year-old midfielder Jake Reeves, who has been sidelined since picking up an injury in the game against Tranmere Rovers on February 1.

He is joined on the Boro's injury table by fellow midfielder Michael Bostwick as the 33-year-old is set to sit out his fourth game on the bounce through injury.

Meanwhile, 26-year-old defender Sid Nelson remains out of contention for Northampton Town as he continues his long journey to full fitness after sustaining a severe injury last August.

Other than that, the Cobblers head into Tuesday's game with a clean bill of health, giving Brady the luxury of a relatively full strength squad at his disposal once again.

With six goals and 12 assists to his name this season, Mitchell Pinnock has been instrumental in Northampton Town's solid campaign so far and the midfielder will certainly be one to keep an eye out for.

Stevenage possible starting lineup:
Pym; O'Neill, Prosser, Cuthbert, James-Wildin; Westbrooke, Vancooten, Upson; Taylor, Norris, Reid

Northampton Town possible starting lineup:
Roberts; McGowan, Horsfall, Guthrie, Koiki; Sowerby, McWilliams; Hoskins, Lewis, Pinnock; Appere


SM words green background

We say: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:480673:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8631:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Northampton Town
60.0%
15
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
A general shot of a Premier League football ahead of the Premier League clash between Everton and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 30, 2016
Read Next:
Charlton youngster heads back to Welling
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!