Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
39.9% | 28.75% | 31.36% |
Both teams to score 44.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.57% | 61.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.69% | 81.31% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% | 30.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% | 66.22% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% | 35.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% | 72.46% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |