Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
50.08% | 27.84% | 22.08% |
Both teams to score 41.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.96% | 63.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.5% | 82.5% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% | 25.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% | 60.35% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.29% | 44.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.3% | 80.7% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 15.58% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 0.99% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |