Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
18.63% ( -0.15) | 24.62% ( -0.35) | 56.75% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% ( 1.06) | 55.76% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% ( 0.86) | 76.9% ( -0.86) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( 0.44) | 44.25% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( 0.36) | 80.33% ( -0.35) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( 0.62) | 19.57% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.51% ( 0.99) | 51.49% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.63% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 14.12% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |