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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Alcaraz (47'), Fali (73'), Alejo (78'), Escalante (89')
FT

Vesga (22'), Lekue (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-3 Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz's fans will be hoping that the arrival of a new manager can inspire the team to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Athletic have been one of the best sides in the division this term, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a victory for the Basque side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
18.63% (-0.153 -0.15) 24.62% (-0.352 -0.35) 56.75% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 44.84% (0.695 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (1.063 1.06)55.76% (-1.058 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.862 0.86)76.9% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75% (0.444 0.44)44.25% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.358 0.36)80.33% (-0.35300000000001 -0.35)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.616 0.62)19.57% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.994 0.99)51.49% (-0.99 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 18.63%
    Athletic Bilbao 56.74%
    Draw 24.62%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 4.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.63%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 14.12% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-2 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.145 0.15)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.74%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
7.6%
Draw
12.1%
Athletic Bilbao
80.3%
66
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Cadiz
Guruzeta (66'), Villalibre (68'), Williams (90+1')
Paredes (45+2')

Fali (46'), Alcaraz (50'), Gomez (87'), Hernandez (90+3')
Feb 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Athletic Bilbao
4-1
Cadiz
Sancet (10', 35', 75'), Alvarez (44')
Escalante (25')
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 33
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Alvarez (27'), Morcillo (69'), Williams (90+2')
Salvi (6')
Haroyan (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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