Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
48.36% ( 0.05) | 24.45% ( -0) | 27.19% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( -0.03) | 46.75% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( -0.03) | 69.01% ( 0.03) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.01) | 19.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( 0.01) | 51.21% ( -0.01) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.05) | 31.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.06) | 67.41% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.36% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |