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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao


Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, August 20 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

With both teams having struggled to score goals during the opening two matches, we cannot see this being the most entertaining of matches. Nevertheless, Athletic have enough quality to take control, potentially scoring a first-half strike and holding firm after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
31.12% (1.279 1.28) 29% (-0.632 -0.63) 39.88% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 44.2% (2.061 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (2.316 2.32)62.33% (-2.317 -2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01% (1.664 1.66)81.98% (-1.664 -1.66)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.266 2.27)36.36% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.223 2.22)73.14% (-2.224 -2.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.79299999999999 0.79)30.54% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.92899999999999 0.93)66.77% (-0.929 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 31.11%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.87%
    Draw 28.99%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 4% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 13.17% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 39.87%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
9.4%
Draw
18.8%
Athletic Bilbao
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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