Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts1 - 2PAOK
We said: Hearts 2-1 PAOK
Both teams enter Thursday's contest in good form and will fancy their chances of coming out on top over the course of the two-legged tie. However, we believe that Hearts will grind out a slender first-leg advantage on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | PAOK |
| 30.61% | 24.32% | 45.06% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
