MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 17:51:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax


de Guzman (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 6-1 Groningen
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Ajax

Ajax's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the defending champions to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
9.02% (0.083 0.08) 15.07% (0.157 0.16) 75.91% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)35.78% (0.511 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.15% (-0.564 -0.56)57.85% (0.567 0.57)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.186 -0.19)46.58% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.143 -0.14)82.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)7.85% (0.1689 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.17% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)27.83% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 9.02%
    Ajax 75.9%
    Draw 15.07%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
1-0 @ 2.8% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
1-1 @ 7.11% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
0-2 @ 11.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 75.9%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
5.6%
Ajax
86.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
Jan 19, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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