MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 20:37:20| >> :60:8:8:
Ajax
Friendlies
Jul 26, 2022 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

Ajax
3 - 1
Shakhtar

Tadic (45'), Berghuis (73'), Kudus (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mudryk (33')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies clash between Ajax and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, July 19 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-2 Shakhtar
Saturday, December 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawShakhtar Donetsk
68.47% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73) 17.18% (0.341 0.34) 14.36% (0.395 0.4)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.234 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.19% (-0.779 -0.78)30.8% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.84% (-0.933 -0.93)52.15% (0.934 0.93)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.78% (-0.351 -0.35)8.22% (0.3511 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.24% (-0.88300000000001 -0.88)28.75% (0.885 0.89)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 68.47%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 14.36%
    Draw 17.18%
AjaxDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 4.9% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.058 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.063 -0.06)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 68.47%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.18%
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 3.02% (0.129 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: Ajax vs Shakhtar

Ajax
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.6%
28
rhs 2.0
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