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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax


Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 0-2 Ajax

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
17.36% (0.683 0.68) 19.62% (0.69 0.69) 63.02% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39% (-2.06 -2.06)36.61% (2.065 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-2.28 -2.28)58.76% (2.286 2.29)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.505 -0.5)34.35% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.546 -0.55)71.06% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)11.1% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (-2.106 -2.11)35.49% (2.11 2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 17.36%
    Ajax 63.02%
    Draw 19.62%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.52 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
9.6%
Draw
13.5%
Ajax
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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