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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
29.86% ( 0.13) | 24.68% ( 0.07) | 45.46% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( -0.27) | 46.14% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( -0.25) | 68.44% ( 0.25) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( -0.04) | 28.85% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% ( -0.05) | 64.71% ( 0.05) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( -0.2) | 20.38% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( -0.32) | 52.79% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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