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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
48.69% ( -0.28) | 23.62% ( 0.26) | 27.69% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% ( -1.17) | 42.7% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% ( -1.18) | 65.1% ( 1.18) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% ( -0.55) | 17.7% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.66% ( -0.97) | 48.34% ( 0.97) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% ( -0.58) | 28.62% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% ( -0.74) | 64.42% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |