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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Fortaleza

Colo-Colo
3 - 4
Fortaleza

Ceballos (45+1' og.), Pavez (65'), Gil (80')
Suazo (40'), Gutierrez (81'), Falcon (90+2')
Alejandro Rojas Orellana (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Romero (3'), Moises (25', 54'), Pikachu (61')
Ronald (45+4'), Felipe (58'), Lima (66'), Welison (79'), Robson (90+2'), Ceballos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Colo-Colo 2-1 Fortaleza

 Fortaleza have done well to put themselves ahead in the fight for second spot, but they face a particularly tough test on Wednesday, and we see them falling short on their travels. Colo-Colo got the better of their opponents in Brazil and will fancy themselves to triumph again in such an important contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
45.61%21.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 68.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.81% (0.023 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)53.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)14.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.27% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.62% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 45.61%
    Fortaleza 32.44%
    Draw 21.95%
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.44%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Fortaleza

Colo-Colo
71.8%
Draw
12.8%
Fortaleza
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 11pm
Fortaleza
1-2
Colo-Colo
Kayzer (70')
Titi (53'), Lima (56'), Moises (65'), Welison (66')
Martin Lucero (38'), Solari (49')
Cortes (65'), Costa (68'), Suazo (88'), Amor (90+1')
Amor (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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