Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich3 - 2Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Ipswich Town 2-2 Southampton
As ruthless as Ipswich have been in front of goal at Portman Road, the Championship leaders are prone to a defensive collapse in front of their own fans, music to the ears of a free-scoring Southampton unit. However, with Martin's men also struggling for clean sheets in the second tier, the victory that the visitors crave may elude them, and a high-scoring stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Southampton |
51.89% ( -2.37) | 20.59% ( 0.54) | 27.51% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 69.86% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
