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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium

B'ham Women
0 - 2
Brighton Women


Scott (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pattinson (28'), Carter (32' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 B'ham Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-2 Man City Women
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Birmingham City Women 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Although Brighton are winless in seven league games, they have breezed past lower-tier opposition to secure their place in the FA Cup quarter-final, and we think that they will showcase their top-flight quality to progress to the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
48% (0.184 0.18) 21.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 30.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 67.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)32.31% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.256 -0.26)53.93% (0.251 0.25)
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.06% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.75% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.348 -0.35)54.93% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Women 48%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 30.18%
    Draw 21.82%
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Brighton Women
1-3
B'ham Women
Zigiotti-Olme (84')
Kerkdijk (22'), Le Tissier (74')
Sarri (9'), Quinn (75', 88')
Smith (86')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
B'ham Women
0-5
Brighton Women
Williams (2'), Kaagman (45+1' pen.), Carter (50'), Koivisto (58'), Green (70')
Symonds (80'), Simpkins (90+5')
Sep 6, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
2-0
B'ham Women
Connolly (59'), Kaagman (61')

Holloway (66'), Scott (71'), Napier (81'), Mayling (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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