Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
22.2% ( 0.01) | 24.71% ( 0) | 53.09% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% ( -0.01) | 52.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.19% ( -0.01) | 73.81% ( 0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% | 38.3% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% | 75.06% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( -0.01) | 19.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% ( -0.01) | 51.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.2% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 12.22% 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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