Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
34.64% ( -0.79) | 26.23% ( 0.15) | 39.13% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( -0.71) | 51.29% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -0.62) | 73.12% ( 0.62) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.82) | 28.28% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.05) | 64% ( 1.05) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.03) | 25.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.03) | 60.6% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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