Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Sampdoria |
67.89% ( -0.04) | 19.7% ( 0.09) | 12.41% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.41% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.61% ( -0.51) | 47.39% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.48) | 69.61% ( 0.48) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% ( -0.17) | 12.95% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.58% ( -0.34) | 39.42% ( 0.34) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.16% ( -0.41) | 47.84% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.89% ( -0.3) | 83.11% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 67.88% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.7% | 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |