Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
72.55% ( 0.05) | 16.83% ( -0.03) | 10.61% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( 0.04) | 39.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% ( 0.04) | 61.6% ( -0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.54% ( 0.02) | 9.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.23% ( 0.05) | 31.77% ( -0.05) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.22% ( -0.02) | 45.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.45% ( -0.02) | 81.55% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 16.83% | 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |