Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.53% | 21.02% | 57.45% |
Both teams to score 60.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.25% | 36.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% | 58.91% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% | 30.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% | 66.47% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.33% | 12.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.16% | 38.84% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 5.65% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.89% Total : 21.53% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.48% 0-4 @ 2.92% 2-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.03% Total : 57.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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