Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw has a probability of 17.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 1-2 (3.75%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
69.61% ( 1.9) | 17.42% ( -0.82) | 12.97% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.49% ( 1.32) | 35.5% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.45% ( 1.45) | 57.55% ( -1.45) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.82% ( 0.8) | 9.17% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.9% ( 1.88) | 31.09% ( -1.88) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% ( -0.71) | 39.32% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% ( -0.67) | 76.02% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.62% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |