Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
42.67% ( 0.41) | 25.73% ( -0.07) | 31.6% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.05% ( 0.19) | 49.94% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( 0.17) | 71.93% ( -0.17) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( 0.28) | 23.27% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( 0.41) | 57.2% ( -0.41) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( -0.14) | 29.57% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( -0.16) | 65.6% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |