Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Roma 3-1 Sassuolo
Even if they do not open up a decisive lead before the closing stages, Roma should still make sure they prevail. The hosts have scored more goals during the last 15 minutes this season than any other Serie A side (18), while Sassuolo have shipped no fewer than 16 during that crucial time period. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.81% ( 0.17) | 19.62% ( 0.05) | 15.57% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
