Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
26.96% ( 0.52) | 26.16% ( -0.05) | 46.88% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.1% ( 0.51) | 53.9% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% ( 0.43) | 75.36% ( -0.43) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% ( 0.7) | 35.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( 0.73) | 71.81% ( -0.73) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |