Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
47.43% ( 0.05) | 26.07% ( -0.02) | 26.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.94% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.17% ( 0.05) | 53.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0.04) | 75.3% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( 0.05) | 22.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( 0.06) | 56.35% ( -0.06) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |