Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
24.78% | 22.44% | 52.78% |
Both teams to score 60.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3% | 39.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% | 62.06% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% | 29.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% | 65.17% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.88% | 15.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.31% | 43.7% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 6.32% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.78% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.93% Total : 52.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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