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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli

Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36'), Hojlund (58'), Maehle (90+2'), Toloi (90+3'), Zapata (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Min-jae (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Napoli
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Napoli

 Atalanta have found the net in each of their last eight league games against Napoli - and Bologna, Ajax, and now Liverpool have each scored twice against the Serie A leaders over the past few weeks. However, the Azzurri's formidable firepower at the other end means they can breach their hosts' mean defence more than once and secure a ninth straight league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
30.42% (0.532 0.53) 24.44% (0.213 0.21) 45.14% (-0.737 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.423 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (-0.689 -0.69)44.8% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (-0.669 -0.67)67.15% (0.676 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.59 -0.59)19.97% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.964 -0.96)52.14% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 30.42%
    Napoli 45.14%
    Draw 24.44%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.14%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
18.2%
Draw
13.0%
Napoli
68.8%
253
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-0
Atalanta

Koulibaly (88')

Romero (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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