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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta


Mourinho (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23'), Toloi (47'), Hateboer (55'), Demiral (76'), de Roon (80'), Koopmeiners (87'), Malinovskyi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Atalanta BC

 While their visitors are clearly benefiting from empty midweeks, having failed to qualify for Europe last term, Roma were able to cruise through the latter stages of their Thursday night match after HJK's captain was sent off. Therefore, the combination of home advantage and greater individual ability up front should decide a closely contested affair in the Giallorossi's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
45.23% (0.617 0.62) 28.15% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.63% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 44.29% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.33 0.33)61.14% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.247 0.25)81.1% (-0.245 -0.25)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.477 0.48)27.02% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.619 0.62)62.38% (-0.618 -0.62)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.2 -0.2)39.31% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.187 -0.19)76.02% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 45.23%
    Atalanta BC 26.63%
    Draw 28.14%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
64.2%
Draw
22.6%
Atalanta BC
13.1%
137
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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