Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
70.88% ( -0) | 16.51% ( 0) | 12.6% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.09% | 31.91% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.54% | 53.46% ( -0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.01% ( -0) | 7.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.82% ( -0) | 28.17% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( 0) | 37.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( 0) | 74.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.88% 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.45% 5-2 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.55% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.51% | 1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-2 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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