Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 8 | 11 |
3 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Spezia | 5 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Empoli | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
78.42% ( -1.57) | 13.62% ( 0.58) | 7.95% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 3.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.74% ( 1.1) | 32.25% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.13% ( 1.27) | 53.86% ( -1.28) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% ( -0.08) | 6.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% ( -0.19) | 24.43% ( 0.19) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.55% ( 3.34) | 46.44% ( -3.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.93% ( 2.44) | 82.06% ( -2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.75) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.41% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.88% Total : 13.62% | 1-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 7.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |