Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Torino had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
70.6% | 17.99% | 11.41% |
Both teams to score 47.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% | 10.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.02% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.4% 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.88% Total : 70.58% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.84% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |