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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Diaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barak (28')
Barak (49'), Saponara (51'), Mandragora (63'), Jovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina

 Milan and Fiorentina have drawn only one of their last 14 Serie A meetings at San Siro, but another could follow this weekend, with the injury-hit home side starting to falter. Fresh from several successes on the road, a more resolute Viola are no longer pushovers when away from Florence - and they pose an attacking threat of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
44.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 25.78% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 29.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.048000000000002 0.05)51.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (0.041999999999998 0.04)72.88% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.046999999999997 0.05)22.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.074999999999996 0.07)56.41% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)31.61% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.75%
    Fiorentina 29.46%
    Draw 25.78%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.46%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
78.5%
Draw
11.1%
Fiorentina
10.4%
135
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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