Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
16.34% ( 0.88) | 19.59% ( 0.27) | 64.07% ( -1.15) |
Both teams to score 56.14% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% ( 0.52) | 38.44% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.27% ( 0.55) | 60.73% ( -0.55) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 1.42) | 36.67% ( -1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( 1.4) | 73.46% ( -1.4) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( -0.15) | 11.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.94% ( -0.33) | 36.06% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.24% Total : 64.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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