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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan

Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
16.34% (0.883 0.88) 19.59% (0.265 0.27) 64.07% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.14% (1.168 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.52200000000001 0.52)38.44% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.55200000000001 0.55)60.73% (-0.551 -0.55)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (1.424 1.42)36.67% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (1.401 1.4)73.46% (-1.401 -1.4)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)11.36% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94% (-0.329 -0.33)36.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 16.34%
    AC Milan 64.07%
    Draw 19.59%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
10.8%
Draw
7.8%
AC Milan
81.4%
102
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Napoli371313115548752
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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