Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |