Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
29.93% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 44.44% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( 0.02) | 50.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( 0.01) | 72.12% ( -0.02) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( -0) | 30.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( -0) | 67.11% ( -0) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 0.02) | 22.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( 0.02) | 56.08% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |