Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Rio Ave |
36.3% ( -0.02) | 27.07% ( 0.06) | 36.63% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% ( -0.22) | 54.66% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% ( -0.18) | 75.99% ( 0.19) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0.12) | 28.91% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0.15) | 64.78% ( 0.15) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0.12) | 28.7% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0.16) | 64.53% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.29% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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