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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
2 - 0
Arouca

Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Simao (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca

Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
34.42% (1.192 1.19) 26.48% (0.312 0.31) 39.1% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.745 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-1.068 -1.07)52.36% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.927 -0.93)74.05% (0.92500000000001 0.93)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.23200000000001 0.23)28.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (0.289 0.29)64.83% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-1.294 -1.29)26.2% (1.292 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-1.763 -1.76)61.29% (1.762 1.76)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 34.42%
    Arouca 39.09%
    Draw 26.47%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.315 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
76.5%
Draw
14.7%
Arouca
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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