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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Watford logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Watford

Zaha (31' pen.)
Hughes (64'), Olise (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (16'), King (84')
Kamara (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-0 Watford

Relegation can sometimes allow clubs to play with the shackles off, so some improvement may come from Watford in the closing weeks of the season, but right now they are still in the limbo of knowing that they are effectively down, without the mathematical confirmation. That is likely to come this weekend, and with Hodgson also departing, there is a danger that the Hornets could give up on this season and begin to focus on life back in the Championship. Palace, meanwhile, still have goals for the campaign and so we are predicting them to pick up a relatively comfortable win this weekend.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford has a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline is Crystal Palace 1-0 Watford with a probability of 12.77% and the second most likely scoreline is Crystal Palace 2-0 Watford with a probability of 11.67%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawWatford
60.94%22.43%16.63%
Both teams to score 47.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68%50.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.26%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94%16.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56%45.44%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.51%43.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.3%79.7%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 60.93%
    Watford 16.63%
    Draw 22.42%
Crystal PalaceDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.47%
5-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 60.93%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.82%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Watford

Crystal Palace
88.0%
Draw
7.4%
Watford
4.6%
108
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 7.30pm
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Sissoko (18')
Samir (40'), Femenia (62')
Mateta (15'), Gallagher (42'), Zaha (85', 90')
Kouyate (44')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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