MX23RW : Friday, May 3 23:34:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
5 - 2
Stal Mielec

Matuszewski (7'), Zreľak (38', 46', 71'), Szymonowicz (49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jaunzems (17'), Shkurin (45+1')
Pingot (48')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, April 12 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
45.89% (-0.189 -0.19) 28.04% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 26.07% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.184 -0.18)61.08% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.139 -0.14)81.05% (0.136 0.14)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.182 -0.18)26.65% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.24 -0.24)61.9% (0.237 0.24)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 45.88%
    Stal Mielec 26.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Warta Poznan vs Stal Mielec

Warta Poznan
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stal Mielec
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Stal Mielec
0-1
Warta Poznan

Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia30168668412756
2Lech Poznan31141074436852
3Slask Wroclaw30149740291151
4Gornik ZabrzeGornik31156104338551
5Legia WarsawLegia301311646341250
6Rakow CzestochowaRakow301310751321949
7Pogon SzczecinSzczecin301461056362048
8Widzew Lodz30126123939042
9Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3081483232038
10Stal Mielec30108123642-638
11Zaglebie Lubin30108123546-1138
12KS CracoviaCracovia3171594340336
13Radomiak Radom3098133751-1435
14Warta Poznan30810123137-634
15Puszcza Niepolomice30712113647-1133
16Korona Kielce30613113539-431
17Ruch Chorzow31414133653-1726
18LKS Lodz3056192965-3621


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