Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
50.13% ( 0.04) | 23.19% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.36% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( -0.1) | 41.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% ( -0.1) | 63.9% ( 0.1) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( -0.02) | 16.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% ( -0.04) | 46.59% ( 0.04) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -0.09) | 28.73% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( -0.12) | 64.56% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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