Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Eastleigh |
67.71% ( -0.34) | 17.59% ( 0.15) | 14.7% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.89% ( -0.32) | 32.1% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.31% ( -0.37) | 53.69% ( 0.37) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.28% ( -0.16) | 8.72% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.01% ( -0.39) | 29.99% ( 0.39) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% ( 0.04) | 34.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( 0.04) | 71.4% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.3% Total : 67.71% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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