Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Eastleigh |
47.57% ( 2.77) | 23.79% ( -0.38) | 28.63% ( -2.39) |
Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.45) | 42.82% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( 0.44) | 65.22% ( -0.44) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( 1.32) | 18.18% ( -1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.83% ( 2.2) | 49.17% ( -2.19) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( -1.36) | 28.01% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( -1.77) | 63.65% ( 1.78) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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