Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
29.24% ( -0.36) | 22.7% ( 0.4) | 48.06% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.24% ( -1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.71% ( -2.23) | 37.29% ( 2.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.5% ( -2.44) | 59.5% ( 2.44) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( -1.35) | 24.81% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% ( -1.91) | 59.39% ( 1.91) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.11% ( -0.85) | 15.88% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.89% ( -1.59) | 45.11% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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