Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.21% ( -0) | 22.83% ( 0) | 56.97% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.58% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% ( -0) | 46.74% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% ( -0) | 69% ( 0) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0) | 37.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% ( -0) | 74.06% ( 0.01) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% ( 0) | 16.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% ( 0) | 45.64% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.95% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.21% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6% 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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